scalping and TV

 

Scalping and TV

"As a newbie I read a lot about scalping and the necessity to be watching 'live', so you can see when the ball is out of play or in goalkeepers hands etc. The reality is, however, that if you are watching on telly, the pictures are at least 30 seconds behind the play. What are others watching that I am not that is much more 'live'?"

A very good point raised regarding an excellent initial post. My in play approach depends on a number of circumstances.

Firstly, I always look for a check point regarding transmission delay. Delay is inevitable and can vary according to the broadcaster and the method of watching. Where live radio (not internet streamed) is available, that gives a good indication of the delay, but here in Australia that isn't usually an option. As a general rule, streamed video has the longest delay, with standard digital transmission quicker than Austar satellite. I don't have the option of cable in this location.

For me there are only some very specific circumstances where I might look to scalp based purely on the TV coverage. A perfect example was a recent Man Utd match where a player went down injured and a break in play was obvious and significant and I was able to pick up ticks purely on the general trend continuing whilst the game was stopped. Otherwise, I only use the live coverage to look for what I determine as "lulls" in the pattern of the game., rather than trying to look for a ball out of play etc. 

I find that the best in play indicators are where gaps or lower liquidity occurs around certain prices. I tend to follow the general trend and aim for a position where I catch the back end of a price which is being filled quickly without "refills" and where a lower price has little money and I am therefore close to or at the front of the queue. Pre KO that observation of the market and potential gaps is a very strong determinator along with the bigger overall trend and the candlestick indicators on Geeks.

I think it is also important to always bear in mind that there are physical and emotional break points where prices can stick or where bettors are likely to place their order. That might occur at a whole number or at a break point (say 3.00 where the increments change)

Another factor is the market in which you are scalping and its relationship to the current score. If I am intending to scalp current score (0-0 early doors being the best example) I will pay much closer attention to the field position of play, whereas I am more influenced by the general pace and intensity of the game when I am scalping with a goal or two buffer (u1.5, 2.5 etc.)

Scalping for me can also be a conscious decision within a trade to back and lay (or vice versa) at pre determined prices within pre determined times. Where two sides have a strong bias to scoring within certain periods, that is a logical decision and whilst it is not a quick in and out scalp, it still constitutes scalping in my book, and used properly can mean one benefits from a full price drop as opposed to repeated short term in and out trades. Perfect example of this was the recent Australia v Macedonia game where the u 1.5 market dropped at pace reflecting a lack of aggressive intent from either side as the game unfolded. This can often be the case in crucial games where sides are sussing each other out. 

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